Let's look at it more realistic.
I think that these new distibutions and all the new noise around Linux will make it less development envoirement as it was known in the beginning. Most distibutions are now going away from the open source community. I am not saying this is the death of linux, on the opposite - maybe this is the new Unix - I do not know. But I am sure that in Several years we will have only two or three free distributions which is kinda sad.