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:eek: CAT-5 WILMA MOST INTENSE EVER!
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/news-weathernews.asp
Hurricane Wilma rapidly gained strength overnight and is now a category 5 storm! A recon plane found a pressure of 892 mb around 2:30 this morning, then 884 mb around 5 a.m., ranking Wilma as the most intense hurricane to ever be recorded in the Atlantic basin!
This is not going to be good news for the New England area. More rain is the last thing they need!Quote:
Accuweather.com forecasters say that after crossing the Florida peninsula Wilma will slingshot north along the Atlantic coast, bringing rain to the Mid-Atlantic and New England states by Monday.
It's sort of funny, the top storms ever, like 10 of them..... 3 were just this year. Katrina, Rita and Willma. That's really something, and a Cat5 cable... I mean, storm, in October, is damn near un-heard of. It looks like the lace it's supposed to go is Florida... They have been pretty lucky so far this year with none of the big ones touching them.
In other Weather, Michigan had a storm a few days ago while it was around 50 degrees outside. My house shook. And this week, record lows. Every day this week it's going into the lower 30s. The highs here are going to be in the 40s and 50s.
Are you hinting at signs of the apocolypse? :P
It doesn't look good for Florida!
This is the source I use:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Quite a nice site in my opinion :)
EDIT: Just click on the maps and they are expanded at the bottom of the page. Quite a few interesting links down the left side as well.
Quote:
I said it was un-heard of for a storm like this this late in October, I didn't say Bush learned how to read, or that Republicans all admitted they were dick heads and racists, and I didn't say Microsoft decided they had enough money and started giving away software.
The NOAA site rocks!! There is SO much to do there...you could spend the whole day!
Gore, it sounds like you guys are getting all the good weather! The Dallas area hasn't had any good weather all year. I think I need to move. :(
MG, there may well be a lovely 4 bedroom house available for you in Florida. There's lots of weather to enjoy here.
I was waiting to hear from you Deb. Are you and your's in the path of this puppy again?Quote:
Originally posted here by debwalin
MG, there may well be a lovely 4 bedroom house available for you in Florida. There's lots of weather to enjoy here.
Cheers:
We are north of the projected path. I live in Jacksonville, so for now, we're not in the direct path. We'll get outer bands and nastiness, but should come out with a house that's standing at least. However, if that thing takes a jog to the north at any point, I will probably be abandoning ship. Just waiting and watching for now.
Good Luck Darl'in............ :)Quote:
Originally posted here by debwalin
We are north of the projected path. I live in Jacksonville, so for now, we're not in the direct path. We'll get outer bands and nastiness, but should come out with a house that's standing at least. However, if that thing takes a jog to the north at any point, I will probably be abandoning ship. Just waiting and watching for now.
Cheers:
Hi debs
You probably have this link, but in case you don't:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClic...x&CiTemplate=1
:)
Yep, I have that one...I won't tell you how many different weather sites I have bookmarked to keep up with this stuff...lol. However, now everyone can watch and see what my weather is like! :D A note of caution though, I was watching all those sites with Lake Charles LA as my location (I have a very dear friend who lives there) and from all of the stuff I was reading on that, she didn't have much bad weather at all! Unfortunately, it wasn't very accurate, since she doesn't have a house or a job or a car left.
The good thing is that the earlier they become strong way out in the gulf, they tend to attenuate before they get on the motherland. Warren Madden from TWC and that blonde from TWC who are part of the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron are going to fly through again and give a live feed to TWC after they land tomorrow.
They said it was lowered to a cat 4 as of now. 1:25 am thurs morning 10-20-05 :)
Hi Tex~
You need to watch the eyewall cycle as well ;) This can have a major impact on strengthening and weakening.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/200836.shtml
:)
I think this one is heading for tampa, its due....Ya its kinda odd that we are getting cat5's in oct. they useualy don't show up after aug, but hey the gulf temps are at record highs for some reason...well hell when you look all over the plant you see wirdly warm temps...what that the permafrost is melting in siberia...well i guess the planets just warmer this year...but but the president said global warming was junk science, there must be some other reason the gloabe is warming up.
Hope it peter's out by the time it makes landfall, I worked on the Andrew cleanup, and that was a mess :(
Up in the Northern part of Canada there is some serious melting going on, and the people of the North (Inuit, Eskimo) are very worried, as a lot of their ecosystem is changing, a lot of their traditional hunting is disappearing (Polar Bears are not as plentiful) they are all chasing the ones which are leaving for better ground.Quote:
what that the permafrost is melting in siberia
Permafrost
If you think it will get better, then you should read this bit about that Monster they call "China"Threat to Enviroment
Blah, we get no mercy do we. I hope this isn't as bad as expected. Or atleast doesn't hit the area I'm in as hard as expected.
Let's get to the topic.......I know at least three people who've hinted at "global warming", have you encountered a few too?
The educated will direct you towards THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION.
Joe Bastardi....AccuWeather:
AccuWeather.com 2005-2006 Winter Forecast
Wednesday, October 12, 2005 10:21 AM EDT
The AccuWeather.com Long Range Forecast Team, led by Chief Meteorologist Joe Bastardi, has released its official Winter Forecast for 2005-2006. The forecast calls for colder-than-normal temperatures in the Northeast, with a milder-than-normal winter in the West.
Snowfall in New England and the mountains of the Pacific Northwest are expected to be above normal, while the center of the nation will see as much as half of the normal snowfall. Overall, New England will be the hardest hit, with a cold and snowy winter expected.
Active Hurricane Season
AccuWeather.com bases its findings on a study of the 2005 hurricane season and other similar "hyper-hurricane" seasons, particularly 1933, 1969 and 1995. The winters that followed each of those active hurricane years were cold in the Northeast. The winter of 1995-96 was cold across the northern Plains and the Southeast. Bitter cold gripped the Midwest in the winter of 1969-70, while a severe winter settled over the Northeast in 1933-34, a winter that was unseasonably warm west of the Ohio Valley.
Active hurricane seasons are a by-product of warmer-than-normal water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean. The warmer-than-normal water at higher latitudes of the Atlantic sets up a blocking pattern, forcing the cold air that builds across central Canada into the eastern Great Lakes and New England.
Temperature Forecast
The forecast calls colder-than-normal temperatures (by as much as 3.5 degrees) over the Northeast. The West will be warmer than usual, as much as 4 degrees warmer over the Great Basin. This forecast indicates a continuing trend of normal- to below-normal temperatures over the Northeast that started during the winter of 2000-2001 and was interrupted only once. The midsection of the nation will have near to above-normal temperatures.
Snowfall Forecast
The Northeast has seen more snowfall than average in four of the past five winters, and that trend looks to continue again this winter. Factors in the North Atlantic leads to enough cold in the region so that even if it is drier than normal, it will snow more than normal. A warm summer usually leads to normal or above-normal snow amounts in the Great Lakes. This appears to be the idea for the eastern Lakes, but the trend may need to be extended westward.
The other area that will receive above-average snowfall is the mountains of the Pacific Northwest, a welcome change from the dry winter of 2004-2005. The assumption is that the warm water south of Alaska will push storms into the region, so that even if it is milder than normal, it snows more. The warmer-than-normal temperatures, combined with moisture-starved storms, will result in below-normal snowfall in the Plains.
Heads up!
It seems that the eye wall cycle is almost complete and that she will now wind herself back up to a 5?
:(
Yep, they're predicting she will wind back up to Cat 5 just in time to cross the Yucatan Peninsula, then weaken again to become approx. Cat 3 when she comes ashore in S. Florida.
For the record, I am as close to "in the clear" as I can be and still be in the same state, which is a relief for me. I'm just really sorry for the people who aren't.
And as much as I hate to say it....if you actually read about the weather cycles in the Atlantic Ocean, this has nothing to do with Global Warming, George Bush, or the Kyoto Agreement that he refused to sign. It's part of a 20-30 year cycle. A period of extremely severe storms followed by a period of lesser storms is totally normal. Yes, 3 of the top 6 strongest hurricanes ever recorded have occured in the last 7 weeks. However, the recording time is less than 150 years. This is not to say that there haven't been even stronger storms than this before now. It's a global weather cycle, and we're stuck in the crappy part of the cycle right now.
Hey Debs~
Get packed up and come over here...........kids can watch/play real soccer? and we can monitor the storm............I don't know what your hubby is into, but I am sure we have it here............golf, fishing?
Hey, that is a real offer to genuine AO'ers.................my house is open (mind the sidewinder on the porch)
:D
You know it's almost Winter here and I'm just waiting for the commercial on TV "Come to Florida" and how nice it is there while it shows New York and Michigan in a snow storm.
All goes to show you, it all depends how you look at it. Now some people may look at that summer beach in Florida and the Blizzards here and think the beach is nicer, but I'd LOVE to remake that commercial and show the same three areas, one in Florida and how the business there is losing around $5,000,000.00 a day because of another Hurricane, and then...
I'd show Christmas day in the other two areas. The scene would show a Fireplace with the background being a shot of the windows showing outside: Snow and some deer. Then it would show Christmas morning with some snow gently falling and kids all happy and playing in the snow and drinking hot Cocoa. Then it would cut back to Florida being ripped like Goatse.cx ass by a Hurricane and the power being out.
If you've seen the commercial before where it showed Winter is horrible, you know what I am talking about. And the reason for all this? Perception of a place seems as if it's everything. why try walking in 7 feet of snow when you can be on a beach in Florida drunk?
Well, I hate Spring and Summer, so why sit in 90 degree weather on Christmas with no snow when you can be in a half blizzard with the heat on looking outside at how pretty it looks, and knowing the meaning of a White Christmas?
My half awake ramble.
Anyway, that Hurricane has slowed down a lot. Supposed to be near Florida already but it's in Mexico hanging out. The funny part ids Florida is losing money left and right because as I said They are losing $5,000,000.00 a day waiting for it. Everyone is leaving so only around 10% of the people buying things are actually there, and soon, all of those are going to be gone as well.
Looks like it may actually get stronger too. Just me, I don't have a degree in Meteorologist stuff, but I am trained in severe storms. Anyway deb, hopefully DTE doesn't have to make a trip to you this year and your house isn't damaged.
Time for a Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico traffic report.
Well if you're wondering why this thing is purportedly going to "sling shot" east-northeast and not north to LA. Well here is why, a low-pressure trough moving in from Canada.
You can see the jet stream that's gonna put the big-hurt on Wilma if she tries to come north.
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USN...m&prodnav=none
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USN...p&prodnav=none
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USN...s&prodnav=none
It looks as if it might strengthen some over the Gulf and land as a cat 2 or 3:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/222109.shtml
I suspect the heavy rain will be more of a problem than the wind. It is moving very slowly, and that is not good.
:(
Well one thing is for sure, at least what we have seen from record. The last thing to release this amount of energy on that peninsula was a meteor six miles wide that caused the Chicxulub crater, from who knows where in space. You don't want to know about the amount of kinetic energy released from that mother load. 4.3×10²³ joules of energy hoss!
So what you're saying is it's all Canada's fault? I knew it! BASTARDS! :pQuote:
Originally posted here by !mitationRust
Well if you're wondering why this thing is purportedly going to "sling shot" east-northeast and not north to LA. Well here is why, a low-pressure trough moving in from Canada.
And seriously...now we have Tropical Storm Alpha. I'm not amused.
Hi Debs,
Sorry to have to drop colleagues in it, but those first three maps on the NOAA site are experimental, and do not seem to have been refreshed? They look like Wilma to me?
It seems from the 3 and 5 day forecast maps that Alpha will pass well to the east of you guys? and follow the classic recurve into the North Atlantic.
:)
From what I read this morning, Alpha isn't even named anymore, but will probably be again later this evening. It looks as though it will get stuck over Hispaniola for now, and caught up in Wilma tomorrow. Tomorrow's weather will be crappy here (forecasting very heavy rain and winds to 44 mph) but not nearly as bad as it is further south!