If it's the middle east, I think it's because the Israeli's are upset that two of their soldiers were caught on the wrong side of the border
And there is the proof of your naivety...

This is occurring in the middle east right now because the G8 summit was about to tell Iran to organize themselves or start walking down the "Iraqi Road". They didn't want that process to start because it restricts the time they have to get themselves a deliverable nuke so they needed a diversion. What better diversion than to take your "paid lackey" aka. Hezbollah, and make Israel start throwing their weight around. Since the UN is so anti semite it was obvious that the front page stories would be about Israel not Iran. Mission accomplished with the possible side effect of starting a major conflict in the region that pulls in the USA thus confirming it's "Great Satan" image... As to the kidnapping of Israeli soldiers being the perfect "trigger" - think back, or google if you are too young, to the Israeli airman some 20 years ago... I couldn't have organized this better myself... if I tried... It's just soooo perfect...

You need to start looking at things as part of "a whole" rather than individual "incidents"... You'll never be good at computer security if you don't...